Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.252015 0.289591 0.329952 0.376422 0.428337 0.484438 0.549534
2026-01-11 0.192871 0.243805 0.302895 0.376055 0.463710 0.564843 0.689804
2026-01-18 0.149731 0.207395 0.279344 0.374592 0.496119 0.644641 0.838363
2026-01-25 0.117323 0.177572 0.258155 0.371711 0.525159 0.722598 0.992657
2026-02-01 0.093356 0.153935 0.240506 0.369814 0.553947 0.802051 1.155938
2026-02-08 0.075065 0.134506 0.225002 0.367751 0.581059 0.880714 1.324404
2026-02-15 0.060361 0.117377 0.209681 0.363038 0.602749 0.952673 1.488682
2026-02-22 0.051083 0.107131 0.203091 0.370097 0.641698 1.051608 1.698063
2026-03-01 0.041857 0.094894 0.191017 0.366252 0.662575 1.124522 1.873748
2026-03-08 0.035102 0.085746 0.182606 0.366968 0.690072 1.208760 2.071418
2026-03-15 0.028819 0.076038 0.171433 0.361028 0.705254 1.273916 2.242981
2026-03-22 0.025794 0.072613 0.171602 0.375416 0.756171 1.399756 2.517870
2026-03-29 0.022924 0.068979 0.170951 0.388476 0.806501 1.529161 2.808501
2026-04-05 0.019591 0.063386 0.165297 0.391014 0.837841 1.628577 3.055892
2026-04-12 0.016631 0.057946 0.159014 0.391367 0.864907 1.722189 3.298898
2026-04-19 0.014017 0.052687 0.152180 0.389565 0.887413 1.808913 3.534796
2026-04-26 0.011859 0.048085 0.146043 0.388348 0.910687 1.898166 3.779677
2026-05-03 0.010024 0.043885 0.140100 0.386680 0.932648 1.986045 4.026491
2026-05-10 0.008366 0.039679 0.133312 0.382066 0.947850 2.061870 4.255230
2026-05-17 0.007396 0.037570 0.131766 0.389637 0.989309 2.189859 4.585211
2026-05-24 0.006203 0.034154 0.125876 0.385745 1.005452 2.269564 4.829551
2026-05-31 0.005322 0.031632 0.122081 0.386573 1.031938 2.370904 5.119078
2026-06-07 0.004409 0.028554 0.115934 0.380415 1.041937 2.439619 5.349629